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Economics / Unit 10: The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy

10.6 Challenges and Debates in Monetary Policy

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Notes

  • Time lags: changes in interest rates can take months or more to affect output and prices, so the Fed must act on forecasts.
  • Conflicting goals: fighting inflation can raise unemployment for a time. Stagflation (high inflation and high unemployment, as in the 1970s) is especially hard, because easing worsens inflation and tightening worsens unemployment.
  • Since 2012, the Fed has stated a goal of $2\%$ inflation over the longer run.
  • Monetarists, such as Milton Friedman, argued the Fed should grow the money supply at a steady rate. Others favor the Fed using judgment as conditions change. Some economists favor clear rules; others prefer flexibility.
  • Debates also concern Fed independence (shielding policy from politics versus democratic accountability) and the risks of keeping rates very low for long periods.
Fiscal policyMonetary policy
WhoCongress and the Presidentthe Federal Reserve
Toolsgovernment spending and taxesinterest rates, open market operations, reserves
Speed of decisionoften slow (legislation)faster (FOMC meetings)

Practice

Why is stagflation especially difficult for the Fed?
Which pair is correctly matched?
Milton Friedman and other monetarists argued that the Fed should:

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